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Indicative planning estimate · not measured results
Tilicho Labs
Evidence base

AI systems in operation across four governments

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The full case base and the current selection, as they sit behind this page. CSV opens in Excel or Sheets.

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System

How this system was classified

The pattern is read from the published description. Complexity and replication follow from the pattern, and together they set the cost model below.

Indicative cost

Demand & value

Model & token pricing

Annual running cost

Decomposed on the FinOps cost schema. Confidence reflects the strength of the source, not the precision of the figure.

How the build cost is derived

Both routes are priced the same way: people × months × working days × day rate. Nothing here is a constant — change any figure and the totals move with it.

LineWorkingAmount
Delivery day rate per day blended across roles
One person-month working days × the day rate
Shared model · first build people months
Conventional · delivery people months
Conventional · RFP and contracting people months
Conventional · totaldelivery plus procurement
Each agency after the first % reusable % reuse factor % local adaptation
Shared model · annual maintenance % of build a year % shared agencies
Conventional · annual support % of build a year per agency

Procurement options

Setup cost across 10 agencies

Under conventional procurement each agency funds a full build. Under the shared model the first build produces a reusable pattern which subsequent agencies inherit.

Traditional, per agencyFactory, per agency

Basis of estimate

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Model a problem

Describe the work, get an indicative cost

Write the problem in your own words, as an agency would describe it. This is read with the same rules used to classify the 3,895 published systems, so a described problem and a published one are treated identically.

Keyword matching over the description only suggests an answer. The questions below decide it, and you answer those.

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Analysis

Recurring patterns

Classified by the function the system performs, the case base reduces to a small number of recurring patterns. Cross-agency reach indicates replication potential: the more agencies already running a pattern, the lower the expected cost of each subsequent build. Select a pattern to carry it into the cost model.

Reach is the share of agencies across all four countries running at least one case of the pattern. Case counts come from what the governments published. Complexity class and replication character are Tilicho classifications applied to the observed pattern.

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Assumptions

Basis of estimate

The calculation is set out below in four stages, using the parameters currently selected in the cost model. Adjusting any input there updates these figures. Each input is stated with its source and an assessment of confidence.

1 · Addressable demand

Total task volume is reduced at three stages: suitability for automation, staff take-up, and acceptance of the output. Benefit accrues only at the final stage.

2 · Unit running cost

Full annual running cost by layer. Token charges are one component of seven.

3 · Build and replication cost

The lead agency funds the initial build. Subsequent agencies fund adaptation only, at a proportion determined by the replication factor.

4 · Basis and confidence

Case counts and token prices are published and verifiable. Delivery and volume figures are planning estimates and should be substituted with agency data before commitment.

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Precedent

Comparable programmes and published evidence

Shared government AI platforms elsewhere, assessed against the same architecture. Only elements confirmed by a government, audit-office, parliamentary, intergovernmental or peer-reviewed source are recorded. Where a figure is not published in such a source, that is stated rather than estimated.

Closest comparable programmes

Ranked by how much of the architecture is confirmed in a qualifying source, not by size or ambition.

The clearest instance of build once, adopt many

One programme in the survey publishes both an adopter count and a before-and-after time measurement.

Published funding and cost figures

The complete set of platform cost and funding figures located in qualifying sources.

What no government publishes

Metrics sought across ten jurisdictions and seven enterprise programmes, and whether any qualifying source reports them.

Implications for programme design